Manchester United vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 1
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 1
WHU
67%
19%
15%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
WHU
1 - 2
MUD
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
YOB
2 - 1
MUD
18%
23%
59%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
4 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RMA
0 - 0
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 1
ELC
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MLL
0 - 0
VIL
14%
21%
66%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
47%
23%
30%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 3
SPB
67%
19%
15%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |