FA Cup . 1/32
Global 4-3
Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
TOT
4 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
MUD
2 - 1
QPR
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1995 |
MUD
2 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1995 |
LEE
3 - 1
MUD
33%
26%
42%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
REA
1 - 1
SUN
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
SUN
6 - 0
MIL
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SUN
1 - 0
CRY
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
WBA
0 - 1
SUN
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |