Manchester United vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
ASV
2 - 5
MUD
46%
24%
30%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
MUD
2 - 1
DER
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
MUD
1 - 2
PNE
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1951 |
SUN
0 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 1
SUN
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
CHL
2 - 1
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
SUN
3 - 1
OPA
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 2
SUN
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |