Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 0
DER
75%
18%
8%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
MUD
0 - 0
SOU
63%
22%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MUD
2 - 2
BUR
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 2
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
COV
2 - 1
STO
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
STO
0 - 1
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CHL
5 - 0
STO
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 1
STO
25%
26%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
STO
3 - 1
WBA
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |