Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1963 |
TOT
2 - 0
MUD
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
SHE
1 - 2
MUD
44%
23%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
MUD
0 - 1
LIV
59%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
ASV
4 - 0
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
MUD
4 - 1
TOT
31%
23%
46%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
STO
4 - 1
BIR
51%
22%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
STO
2 - 1
BOU
68%
16%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
EVE
2 - 0
STO
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
STO
4 - 4
SHW
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
IPS
0 - 2
STO
63%
19%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |