Manchester United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 2
SHE
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 2
LIV
29%
24%
47%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
FUL
1 - 2
MUD
12%
20%
69%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 1
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 3
ARS
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
ARS
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
STF
80%
15%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |