Manchester United vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MUD
4 - 1
FUL
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TOT
1 - 1
MUD
25%
24%
51%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 0
WHU
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WHU
2 - 2
MUD
12%
18%
70%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
EVE
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CHL
2 - 2
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ASV
0 - 1
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 5
CHL
14%
21%
66%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
ARS
14%
20%
67%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |