Manchester United vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MUD
1 - 4
LIV
32%
26%
43%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 1
MUD
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SJE
0 - 0
MUD
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
MUD
1 - 1
AME
61%
23%
17%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
LIV
62%
18%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
RMA
13%
18%
69%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
SEV
3 - 2
RMA
17%
19%
63%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 2
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |