Manchester United vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
MUD
1 - 0
LYO
71%
18%
11%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FUL
0 - 3
MUD
13%
21%
65%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 5
MUD
16%
23%
61%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
LYO
1 - 1
MUD
26%
26%
48%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MUD
4 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
23%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
EVE
3 - 1
OPA
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
OPA
1 - 0
SUN
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PNE
0 - 1
OPA
24%
28%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BOL
0 - 1
OPA
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
OPA
1 - 1
CHL
20%
27%
54%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |