Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 1
MUD
15%
23%
62%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MUD
5 - 1
LEE
71%
18%
12%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUD
4 - 0
EVE
65%
20%
16%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 2
BRE
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 4
WHU
26%
24%
49%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 0
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |