Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 1
TOT
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
BBU
0 - 0
MUD
21%
23%
57%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
MID
0 - 1
MUD
19%
22%
58%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
LIV
2 - 2
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
BBU
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
LEI
2 - 0
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
WIM
1 - 1
NEW
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
SHW
1 - 1
NEW
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |