Manchester United vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
WBA
0 - 1
MUD
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
MUD
0 - 0
STO
69%
17%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
33%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 1
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 4
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1950 |
TOT
7 - 0
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1950 |
NEW
1 - 2
FUL
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 4
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
NEW
4 - 2
BPO
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |