Manchester United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1998 |
CHL
0 - 0
MUD
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
MUD
3 - 0
NTT
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MUD
2 - 3
MID
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
MUD
1 - 1
CHL
57%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
TOT
2 - 2
MUD
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1998 |
DER
2 - 1
MID
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1998 |
MID
1 - 3
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MUD
2 - 3
MID
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
MID
1 - 0
WHU
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |