Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
MUD
47%
23%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TOT
0 - 3
MUD
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 5
LIV
27%
23%
50%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 2
MUD
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MAC
4 - 1
BRU
79%
14%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 2
CRY
85%
11%
5%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
WHU
0 - 0
MAC
16%
21%
64%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BHA
1 - 4
MAC
8%
17%
75%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 5
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |