Manchester United vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
TOT
2 - 1
MUD
54%
19%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1960 |
MUD
2 - 1
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
NEW
7 - 3
MUD
38%
22%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1959 |
BUR
1 - 4
MUD
47%
22%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
MUD
1 - 2
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1960 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1960 |
WOL
4 - 2
MAC
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
MAC
4 - 1
SHW
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1959 |
MAC
4 - 0
EVE
61%
19%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |