Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 2
MUD
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MUD
1 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
0 - 1
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 3
LIV
28%
25%
47%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 5
LIV
8%
15%
78%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
FCP
1 - 5
LIV
19%
21%
60%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 3
LIV
10%
16%
74%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |