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Premier League. Matchday 34

Man. Utd Liverpool
91 ELO 94
8% Tilt 15%
13º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.3%
Man. Utd
25.4%
Draw
28.4%
Liverpool

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
Man. Utd
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.4%
Win probability
Liverpool
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Man. Utd
+12%
-17%
Liverpool

Points and table prediction

Man. Utd
Their league position
Liverpool
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
13º
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
74
85
100%
Man. Utd
66
78
99%
Leicester
56
68
25%
Chelsea
55
65
16%
West Ham
55
66
24%
Liverpool
53
65
16%
Tottenham Hotspur
50
60
38%
Everton
49
58
16%
Arsenal
46
56
26%
Leeds United
10º
46
55
10º
23%
Aston Villa
11º
44
53
11º
20%
Wolves
12º
41
48
12º
28%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
13º
20%
Southampton
14º
36
44
14º
19%
Newcastle
15º
35
41
15º
20%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
34
41
16º
21%
Burnley
17º
33
40
17º
25%
Fulham
18º
27
31
18º
64%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
53%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
99%
Expected probabilities
Man. Utd
Liverpool
Champion
1% 0%
Champions League
99% 43%
Europa League
0% 27%
Mid-table
0% 30%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Man. Utd
MUD
Liverpool
LIV
Roma
ROM
Aston Villa
ASV
Sampdoria
SAM
Southampton
SOU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Man. Utd
Man. Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO MUD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
3 - 1
Burnley
BUR
79%
14%
7%
3331 2059 1272 +4
15 Apr. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
2 - 0
Granada
GRA
79%
14%
7%
3326 2236 1090 +7
11 Apr. 2021
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 3
Man. Utd
MUD
42%
28%
30%
3306 3029 -277 +18
08 Apr. 2021
GRA
Granada
0 - 2
Man. Utd
MUD
30%
26%
44%
3298 2233 -1065 +11
04 Apr. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
79%
14%
7%
3290 1971 1319 +2

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2021
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
16%
20%
64%
3491 1962 -1529 -9
14 Apr. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
0 - 0
Real Madrid
RMA
53%
25%
22%
3495 3519 -24 +1
10 Apr. 2021
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
81%
12%
6%
3488 2168 1320 +2
06 Apr. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
53%
25%
22%
3519 3476 -43 -27
03 Apr. 2021
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
42%
27%
31%
3490 3110 -380 +20