Manchester United vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUD
4 - 0
EVE
65%
20%
16%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 2
BRE
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
QPR
4 - 2
MUD
5%
17%
78%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
MUD
3%
15%
82%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
MUD
40%
25%
36%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 2
VIL
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 0
LEE
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LEE
2 - 3
BET
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
FLE
2 - 1
LEE
11%
19%
70%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
BBU
1 - 1
LEE
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |