Manchester United vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 3
MUD
28%
25%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
PSV
2 - 1
MUD
24%
24%
52%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MUD
3 - 1
LIV
58%
23%
20%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 1
MUD
21%
24%
55%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BRU
0 - 4
MUD
27%
25%
48%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
IPS
1 - 1
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
LEE
0 - 1
IPS
32%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
REA
5 - 1
IPS
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
IPS
2 - 3
BHA
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
DON
1 - 4
IPS
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |