Manchester United vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MUD
2 - 2
ACM
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
KRI
0 - 1
MUD
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
TOT
1 - 2
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MUD
1 - 0
INT
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
MUD
4 - 0
LEE
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
CHL
28%
26%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
RBS
3 - 5
CHL
48%
24%
28%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
REA
3 - 4
CHL
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
KAW
1 - 0
CHL
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
STP
0 - 4
CHL
12%
22%
66%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |