Manchester United vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BET
1 - 0
MUD
29%
24%
48%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CAD
4 - 2
MUD
9%
17%
74%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FUL
1 - 2
MUD
17%
21%
62%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
MUD
4 - 2
ASV
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
20%
23%
58%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 1
MID
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
QPR
0 - 3
BUR
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 0
BBU
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 1
CRA
80%
15%
6%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
5 - 2
BUR
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |