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UCL. Group F, Matchday 3

Man. Utd vs Atalanta analysis

Man. Utd Atalanta
90 ELO 86
30% Tilt 36%
17º General ELO ranking 33º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.6%
Man. Utd
19.6%
Draw
20.8%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
Man. Utd
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.8%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Points and table prediction

Man. Utd
Their league position
Atalanta
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
1
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Boys
3
8
25%
Atalanta
1
12
14%
Villarreal
1
9
25%
Man. Utd
0
5
48%
Expected probabilities
Man. Utd
Atalanta
Next phase
31% 83%
elimuefa
21% 13%
Mid-table
48% 3%

ELO progression

Atalanta
ATL
Man. Utd
MUD
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Man. Utd
Man. Utd
1%
X%
2%
ELO MUD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2021
WHU
West Ham
1 - 2
Man. Utd
MUD
35%
27%
38%
3198 2527 -671 +8
14 Sep. 2021
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 1
Man. Utd
MUD
24%
24%
52%
3239 2044 -1195 -38
11 Sep. 2021
MUD
Man. Utd
4 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
80%
13%
6%
3229 2043 1186 +5
29 Aug. 2021
WOL
Wolves
0 - 1
Man. Utd
MUD
23%
24%
54%
3195 2080 -1115 +5
22 Aug. 2021
SOU
Southampton
1 - 1
Man. Utd
MUD
30%
25%
45%
3201 2316 -885 -6

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2021
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
60%
22%
18%
2858 2224 634 0
18 Sep. 2021
SAL
Salernitana
0 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
14%
19%
67%
2856 1138 -1718 +2
14 Sep. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
2 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
46%
27%
27%
2856 2654 -202 +2
11 Sep. 2021
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
57%
23%
19%
2868 2414 454 -17
28 Aug. 2021
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 0
Bologna
BOL
72%
17%
11%
2876 1943 933 -8