Man. City Sub 21 vs Crystal Palace Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
42
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. City Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
DER
1 - 3
MCI
60%
20%
19%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 3
BRO
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 3
MCI
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 0
FUL
59%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MCI
4 - 1
WHU
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
PLY
1 - 0
CRY
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CRY
3 - 4
EVE
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
CRY
58%
20%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WHU
0 - 1
CRY
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRY
3 - 3
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |