Man. City Sub 18 vs Newcastle Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
9º
1º
22
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. City Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
NOT
2 - 2
MCI
14%
18%
69%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MCI
8 - 0
WOL
88%
9%
4%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 1
MCI
13%
16%
71%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STO
1 - 3
MCI
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 3
MAN
77%
14%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MID
4 - 2
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 1
WOL
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEE
1 - 1
NEW
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAN
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
EVE
1 - 1
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |