Man. City Sub 18 vs Derby County Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
10º
2º
37
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Man. City Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
MCI
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MCI
3 - 1
STO
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
1 - 3
SUN
87%
9%
4%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 0
LIV
77%
13%
9%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 0
WOL
91%
7%
2%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DER
4 - 1
MID
72%
16%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 6
DER
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +3 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DER
1 - 6
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MID
2 - 2
DER
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DER
5 - 2
BLA
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |