Manchester City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BHA
1 - 4
MAC
9%
17%
74%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
LEI
79%
13%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BUR
0 - 1
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
MUD
0 - 2
MAC
25%
24%
51%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
66%
18%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 4
WHU
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CHL
3 - 0
WAT
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 2
WOL
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 2
WAT
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |