Manchester City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
6 - 3
RBL
75%
15%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 1
MAC
17%
21%
62%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
NOR
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 0
MAC
19%
22%
59%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
WHU
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
SOU
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 8
SOU
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
EVE
3 - 1
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |