Champions League . Semi-finals
Global 5-6Manchester City vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
5 - 1
WAT
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 0
BHA
86%
11%
4%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 3
LIV
52%
22%
27%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ATM
0 - 0
MAC
15%
21%
64%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 2
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
OSA
1 - 3
RMA
11%
19%
70%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SEV
2 - 3
RMA
24%
24%
52%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 3
CHL
50%
23%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RMA
2 - 0
GET
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
CHL
1 - 3
RMA
43%
25%
32%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |