Manchester City vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 1
MAC
17%
21%
62%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
NOR
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 0
MAC
19%
22%
59%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 0
MAC
15%
20%
66%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RBL
1 - 4
BYM
8%
14%
78%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
WOL
1 - 0
RBL
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
RBL
4 - 0
STU
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
M05
1 - 0
RBL
14%
19%
67%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SVS
0 - 4
RBL
4%
13%
83%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |