Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Manchester City vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 2
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
0 - 4
MAC
15%
22%
63%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
DYN
67%
19%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 2
PSG
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 2
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PSG
4 - 1
NIC
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PSG
0 - 2
MON
71%
18%
12%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 9
PSG
7%
17%
76%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | -1 |