Manchester City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
REA
2 - 0
MAC
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
QPR
2 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
SHE
2 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIN
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
NOR
2 - 0
OLD
60%
24%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
NOR
3 - 1
IPS
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1996 |
GRI
1 - 4
NOR
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
NOR
1 - 1
TRA
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
OPA
0 - 1
NOR
35%
27%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |