Manchester City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
MAC
1 - 0
COV
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
STO
1 - 1
MAC
44%
26%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
DER
1 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
MAC
3 - 1
BIR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1973 |
MAC
0 - 1
BUR
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1973 |
SOU
2 - 2
NOR
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
NOR
2 - 2
WHU
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
NOR
0 - 0
QPR
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
WOL
3 - 1
NOR
78%
14%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
STO
2 - 0
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |