Manchester City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LIV
4 - 3
MAC
34%
25%
41%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRI
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
4 - 1
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
3 - 1
WAT
87%
10%
3%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
CRY
0 - 0
MAC
11%
18%
71%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
SWA
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 1
LUT
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
STO
0 - 1
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 0
BHA
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
14%
19%
67%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |