Manchester City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
MAC
0 - 1
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
WBA
0 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
STO
3 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
MID
4 - 0
REA
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
BCF
0 - 1
MID
19%
27%
54%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
IPS
1 - 1
MID
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
MID
1 - 0
WBA
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1997 |
MID
0 - 0
NTT
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |