Premier League . Jor. 27

Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis

Manchester City Manchester United
100 ELO 96
16.5% Tilt 20.8%
General ELO ranking 11º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
76.5%
Manchester City
14.5%
Draw
8.9%
Manchester United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
Manchester City
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.9%
Win probability
Manchester United
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manchester City
+3%
-2%
Manchester United

Points and table prediction

Manchester City
Their league position
Manchester United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
85
54
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
85
91
83%
Arsenal
86
89
83%
Liverpool
79
82
100%
Aston Villa
68
69
97.5%
Tottenham Hotspur
63
66
95%
Newcastle
57
60
31.5%
Chelsea
57
60
30%
Manchester United
54
57
69%
West Ham
52
52
89.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion
10º
48
51
10º
54.5%
Everton
15º
40
48
11º
26.5%
AFC Bournemouth
11º
48
48
12º
26%
Crystal Palace
12º
46
47
13º
25.5%
Wolves
13º
46
46
14º
39.5%
Fulham
14º
44
45
15º
63%
Brentford
16º
39
40
16º
100%
Nottingham Forest
17º
29
33
17º
100%
Luton Town
18º
26
27
18º
63%
Burnley
19º
24
27
19º
63%
Sheffield United
20º
16
16
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Manchester City
Manchester United
Champion
83% 0%
Champions League
17% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Manchester City
Manchester United
West Ham
Brighton & Hove Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2024
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 6
Manchester City
MAC
4%
12%
85%
100 84 16 0
24 Feb. 2024
BOU
AFC Bournemouth
0 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
7%
16%
77%
100 88 12 0
20 Feb. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 0
Brentford
BRE
85%
10%
5%
100 91 9 0
17 Feb. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
82%
12%
6%
100 94 6 0
13 Feb. 2024
FCK
Kobenhavn
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
3%
12%
85%
100 84 16 0

Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2024
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
12%
19%
69%
96 86 10 0
24 Feb. 2024
MUD
Manchester United
1 - 2
Fulham
FUL
68%
19%
13%
96 89 7 0
18 Feb. 2024
LUT
Luton Town
1 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
12%
20%
69%
96 84 12 0
11 Feb. 2024
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
34%
24%
42%
96 93 3 0
04 Feb. 2024
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 0
West Ham
WHU
52%
24%
25%
96 93 3 0
X