Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 0
GIR
93%
6%
2%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 2
BRE
88%
9%
3%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 1
FUL
90%
7%
3%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
SEV
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
LIV
3 - 1
SOU
80%
14%
6%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
LIV
0 - 0
DER
91%
8%
2%
|
96 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TOT
1 - 2
LIV
20%
21%
59%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 0
NAP
63%
20%
17%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 2
LEE
81%
13%
6%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | -1 |