Manchester City vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
MAC
8%
16%
76%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
MAC
7 - 0
LEE
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
WOL
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
RBL
2 - 1
MAC
14%
19%
67%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 3
MAC
8%
17%
76%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 3
LEI
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
LEI
4 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
NAP
3 - 2
LEI
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 1
LEI
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 2
LEI
24%
24%
51%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |