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Premier League. Matchday 31

Man. City Leeds United
98 ELO 70
2% Tilt 62%
General ELO ranking 222º
Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
71.1%
Man. City
14.9%
Draw
13.9%
Leeds United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
Man. City
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.9%
Win probability
Leeds United
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Man. City
-1%
+51%
Leeds United

Basic stats

71
29
POS
29
2
SOT
9
3
COR
1
2
GF
2
1
GC
18
14
FRK
98
70
ELO
3
1.3
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Man. City
Their league position
Leeds United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
10º
46
20º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
74
85
100%
Man. Utd
66
78
99%
Leicester
56
68
25%
Chelsea
55
64
15%
West Ham
55
65
25%
Liverpool
53
65
14%
Tottenham Hotspur
50
60
37%
Everton
49
59
16%
Arsenal
46
56
23%
Leeds United
10º
46
55
10º
22%
Aston Villa
11º
44
54
11º
19%
Wolves
12º
41
48
12º
27%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
13º
20%
Southampton
14º
36
44
14º
19%
Newcastle
15º
35
41
15º
21%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
34
41
16º
21%
Burnley
17º
33
40
17º
25%
Fulham
18º
27
31
18º
63%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
53%
Sheffield United
20º
14
18
20º
98%
Expected probabilities
Man. City
Leeds United
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 1%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 99%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Leeds United
LEE
Man. City
MAC
B. Dortmund
BVB
Chelsea
CHL
Stuttgart
STU
Crystal Palace
CRY
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Man. City
Man. City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
18%
10%
3834 3053 781 +14
03 Apr. 2021
LEI
Leicester
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
30%
26%
44%
3821 2749 -1072 +8
20 Mar. 2021
EVE
Everton
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
21%
24%
55%
3815 2449 -1366 +8
16 Mar. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
81%
12%
6%
3805 2464 1341 +10
13 Mar. 2021
FUL
Fulham
0 - 3
Man. City
MAC
10%
16%
74%
3798 1895 -1903 +3

Matches

Leeds United
Leeds United
1%
X%
2%
ELO LEE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2021
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
56%
25%
20%
1929 1690 239 +9
19 Mar. 2021
FUL
Fulham
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
47%
27%
26%
1915 1891 -24 +14
13 Mar. 2021
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 0
Chelsea
CHL
21%
24%
55%
1907 3250 -1343 +9
08 Mar. 2021
WHU
West Ham
2 - 0
Leeds United
LEE
57%
23%
20%
1918 2344 426 -11
27 Feb. 2021
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
44%
27%
29%
1929 2159 -230 -12