Manchester City vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
20%
23%
56%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAC
37%
26%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WIG
0 - 2
MAC
21%
26%
54%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
RBS
0 - 2
MAC
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BBU
63%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
4 - 2
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 3
PAL
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UDI
0 - 4
JUV
39%
25%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 3
LPO
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
JUV
3 - 3
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |