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Premier League. Matchday 11

Man. City Fulham
96 ELO 68
3% Tilt -5%
General ELO ranking 286º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
81.8%
Man. City
11.7%
Draw
6.5%
Fulham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
Man. City
2.99
Expected goals
11-0
<0%
+11
<0%
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.5%
Win probability
Fulham
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Man. City
-19%
+2%
Fulham

Basic stats

70
30
POS
16
6
SOT
9
3
COR
2
0
GF
0
2
GC
6
8
FRK
96
68
ELO
3
0.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Man. City
Their league position
Fulham
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
86
10º
28
12º
19º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
86
86
100%
Man. Utd
74
74
100%
Liverpool
69
69
100%
Chelsea
67
67
100%
Leicester
66
66
100%
West Ham
65
65
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
62
62
100%
Arsenal
61
61
100%
Leeds United
59
59
50%
Everton
10º
59
59
10º
50%
Aston Villa
11º
55
55
11º
100%
Newcastle
12º
45
45
13º
50%
Wolves
13º
45
45
12º
50%
Crystal Palace
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Southampton
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Burnley
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Fulham
18º
28
28
18º
100%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
26
26
19º
100%
Sheffield United
20º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Man. City
Fulham
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Fulham
FUL
Man. City
MAC
Olympique Marseille
MAR
Man. Utd
MUD
West Ham
WHU
RB Leipzig
RBL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Man. City
Man. City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2020
FCP
Porto
0 - 0
Man. City
MAC
40%
28%
32%
3675 3231 -444 -1
28 Nov. 2020
MAC
Man. City
5 - 0
Burnley
BUR
84%
11%
5%
3667 1995 1672 +3
25 Nov. 2020
OLP
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 - 1
Man. City
MAC
25%
25%
51%
3656 2560 -1096 +13
21 Nov. 2020
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 0
Man. City
MAC
38%
28%
34%
3675 3092 -583 -23
08 Nov. 2020
MAC
Man. City
1 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
52%
25%
22%
3677 3681 -4 -2

Matches

Fulham
Fulham
1%
X%
2%
ELO FUL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2020
LEI
Leicester
1 - 2
Fulham
FUL
72%
18%
10%
1806 2682 876 +21
22 Nov. 2020
FUL
Fulham
2 - 3
Everton
EVE
36%
27%
37%
1815 2382 -567 -9
07 Nov. 2020
WHU
West Ham
1 - 0
Fulham
FUL
56%
24%
20%
1822 2239 417 -8
02 Nov. 2020
FUL
Fulham
2 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
46%
27%
27%
1803 1941 -138 +19
24 Oct. 2020
FUL
Fulham
1 - 2
Crystal Palace
CRY
40%
28%
32%
1814 2170 -356 -11