Manchester City vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
64%
19%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LEE
1 - 1
MAC
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 3
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 5
LEI
75%
15%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOU
88%
9%
3%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 3
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BOA
0 - 5
FCP
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCP
3 - 1
SPB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
50%
23%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |