Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 4
MAC
2%
11%
87%
|
95 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAC
9%
16%
75%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
MAC
6 - 3
LEI
74%
16%
10%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 4
MAC
8%
16%
76%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
TOT
0 - 1
CHL
26%
25%
49%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CHL
5 - 1
CHE
88%
10%
3%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 2
LIV
28%
23%
49%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
BHA
74%
18%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |