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Premier League. Matchday 35

Man. City Chelsea
98 ELO 92
-1% Tilt 4%
General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.8%
Man. City
21.6%
Draw
18.6%
Chelsea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
Man. City
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.6%
Win probability
Chelsea
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Man. City
-4%
-8%
Chelsea

Points and table prediction

Man. City
Their league position
Chelsea
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
10º
54
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Man. City
71
84
97%
Man. Utd
63
78
93%
Leicester
56
68
26%
West Ham
55
67
21%
Chelsea
54
66
20%
Liverpool
52
66
24%
Everton
48
59
18%
Tottenham Hotspur
46
59
14%
Arsenal
45
58
24%
Leeds United
10º
45
55
10º
20%
Aston Villa
11º
44
54
11º
18%
Wolves
12º
38
47
12º
20%
Crystal Palace
13º
38
45
14º
18%
Southampton
14º
36
45
13º
17%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15º
33
40
15º
20%
Burnley
16º
33
40
16º
20%
Newcastle
17º
32
39
17º
22%
Fulham
18º
26
30
18º
52%
West Bromwich Albion
19º
24
29
19º
50%
Sheffield United
20º
14
19
20º
96%
Expected probabilities
Man. City
Chelsea
Champion
97% 0%
Champions League
3% 39%
Europa League
0% 20%
Mid-table
0% 40%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chelsea
CHL
Man. City
MAC
Newcastle
NEW
Arsenal
ARS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Man. City
Man. City
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
80%
13%
7%
3843 1938 1905 -24
06 Apr. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 1
B. Dortmund
BVB
72%
18%
11%
3834 3053 781 +14
03 Apr. 2021
LEI
Leicester
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
30%
26%
44%
3821 2749 -1072 +8
20 Mar. 2021
EVE
Everton
0 - 2
Man. City
MAC
21%
24%
56%
3815 2449 -1366 +8
16 Mar. 2021
MAC
Man. City
2 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
81%
12%
6%
3805 2464 1341 +10

Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea
1%
X%
2%
ELO CHL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
0 - 1
Porto
FCP
50%
26%
24%
3308 3254 54 0
10 Apr. 2021
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 4
Chelsea
CHL
24%
24%
52%
3299 2146 -1153 +8
07 Apr. 2021
FCP
Porto
0 - 2
Chelsea
CHL
52%
25%
23%
3254 3301 47 +50
03 Apr. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 5
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
82%
12%
6%
3284 1847 1437 -40
21 Mar. 2021
CHL
Chelsea
2 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
82%
12%
6%
3282 1691 1591 +4