Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
PSG
64%
19%
18%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRY
0 - 2
MAC
6%
16%
78%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
1 - 2
MAC
24%
23%
53%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
70%
17%
13%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
73%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
RMA
32%
25%
43%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
FUL
77%
16%
7%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 1
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WHU
0 - 1
CHL
25%
23%
52%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
0 - 0
BHA
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |