Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
73%
15%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAC
10%
18%
73%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
5 - 0
BUR
85%
10%
5%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
BUR
0 - 1
MAC
7%
17%
77%
|
92 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHL
5 - 0
HUR
82%
14%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
BOU
4 - 0
CHL
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CHL
3 - 0
SHW
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
34%
25%
41%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ARS
2 - 0
CHL
42%
25%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |