Manchester City vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 3
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CRY
1 - 2
MAC
16%
21%
62%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
MID
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MHE
3 - 4
CEL
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 3
CEL
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 2
FCB
8%
15%
77%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
KIL
0 - 1
CEL
15%
23%
63%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CEL
3 - 0
ICT
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |