Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
OLP
0 - 1
MAC
22%
22%
56%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TOT
2 - 0
MAC
28%
23%
49%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
43%
23%
34%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 0
OLP
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SHE
0 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
76%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 0
CRY
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
BHA
0 - 0
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 3
CHL
14%
19%
67%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 1
TOT
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
WBA
0 - 0
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |