Premier League . Jor. 18

Manchester City vs Brentford analysis

Manchester City Brentford
100 ELO 90
16.4% Tilt 18.6%
General ELO ranking 46º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
85.4%
Manchester City
10.2%
Draw
4.5%
Brentford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
Manchester City
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.5%
Win probability
Brentford
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Manchester City
+3%
-4%
Brentford

Points and table prediction

Manchester City
Their league position
Brentford
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
91
39
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
91
91
100%
Arsenal
89
89
100%
Liverpool
82
82
100%
Aston Villa
68
68
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
66
66
100%
Chelsea
63
63
100%
Newcastle
60
60
0%
Manchester United
60
60
0%
West Ham
52
52
100%
Crystal Palace
10º
49
49
10º
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Everton
15º
40
48
12º
0%
AFC Bournemouth
12º
48
48
13º
0%
Fulham
13º
47
47
14º
100%
Wolves
14º
46
46
15º
100%
Brentford
16º
39
39
16º
100%
Nottingham Forest
17º
32
36
17º
100%
Luton Town
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Burnley
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Sheffield United
20º
16
16
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Manchester City
Brentford
Champion
100% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Manchester City
Brentford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 1
Chelsea
CHL
82%
12%
6%
100 94 6 0
13 Feb. 2024
FCK
Kobenhavn
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
3%
12%
85%
100 84 16 0
10 Feb. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 0
Everton
EVE
88%
9%
4%
100 89 11 0
05 Feb. 2024
BRE
Brentford
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
8%
17%
74%
100 90 10 0
31 Jan. 2024
MAC
Manchester City
3 - 1
Burnley
BUR
89%
8%
3%
100 87 13 0

Matches

Brentford
Brentford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
BRE
Brentford
1 - 4
Liverpool
LIV
10%
18%
72%
90 100 10 0
10 Feb. 2024
WOL
Wolves
0 - 2
Brentford
BRE
41%
26%
33%
90 90 0 0
05 Feb. 2024
BRE
Brentford
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
8%
17%
74%
90 100 10 0
31 Jan. 2024
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
3 - 2
Brentford
BRE
61%
21%
18%
90 94 4 0
20 Jan. 2024
BRE
Brentford
3 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
60%
22%
18%
90 86 4 0
X