Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Manchester City vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LEI
0 - 2
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
11%
19%
70%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FUL
0 - 3
MAC
5%
14%
80%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 2
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BVB
1 - 2
EIN
52%
22%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 2
BVB
9%
15%
76%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 0
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 2
SEV
41%
25%
34%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 2
BVB
71%
16%
13%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | -1 |