Manchester City vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 1
SWA
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
QPR
2 - 2
MAC
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
CSK
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
NEW
86%
11%
4%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BYM
4 - 0
HOF
85%
11%
4%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EIN
0 - 4
BYM
7%
15%
78%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BYM
2 - 0
ROM
86%
11%
3%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BYM
2 - 1
BVB
75%
15%
10%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
HSV
1 - 3
BYM
5%
13%
83%
|
98 | 81 | 17 | 0 |