Manchester City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
NOR
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 0
MAC
19%
22%
59%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 0
MAC
15%
20%
66%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
4 - 1
BPO
92%
7%
2%
|
95 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAC
4 - 0
BAR
90%
7%
2%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 6
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
CHL
30%
24%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARS
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 0
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
29%
25%
46%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |